Go ahead. Crunch the numbers. There is virtually no way for the Democrats to have either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton go over the magic number of 2,024 delegates to win the nomination. At this point in the campaign, there are about 100 delegate votes separating the two candidates.
There is much talk about having the two states disqualified early in the process, Michigan and Florida, reschedule and rerun their primary. After all, no one ever thought it would be this close seems to be the cry of many pundits.
In the fall of 2006, the Democratic National Committee met (including representatives from Michigan and Florida) and decided that the rules would be that states could not infringe on the early states of Iowa or New Hampshire. All of the states voted on the rules.
DNC Chairman Howard Dean commented on CNN this week that "Florida and Michigan voted for them and then decided that they didn't need to abide by the rules. When you're in a contest you do need to abide by the rules."
But the governors of the respective states say "unfair!" They claim the DNC is silencing the voices of over 5 million people by not allowing them to vote. Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, a possible running mate for GOP prospective nominee John McCain, is screaming loud that his state is being cheated.
Not so, Gov. Crist. If you really want to see who cheated your state out of having their votes count, take a look in the mirror. And on your way to the mirror, grab your fellow Gov. Jennifer Granholm of Michigan so she can look in her mirror. You folks blew it. You signed the law to break the party rules and you knew it. You tried to call the party's bluff and you lost. You need to go before your states' voters and say that it was your fault.
But they won't. They'll whine and cry until they get a re-vote. And my guess is that they will probably win out.
Now if someone on the DNC happens to be reading this, pass this idea on to Chairman Dean. The rules have been broken by these two states. These states have disqualified themselves. The total number of delegates (super and regular) was 4,047, including Florida and Michigan. So 50% + 1 delegate would win the nomination. The magic number was 2,024. So you need to eliminate the delegate count from these two states (366) and you get the new total of delegates. 3,681. In order to win the nomination (50% + 1) with this number of delegates, a candidate must win 1,841 delegates.
Granholm, Crist and some candidate will whine and cry. Not fair! They will cry this is so important, this is the leader of the free world were voting for. Tough. You should have thought of that before you broke the rules you agreed to in the beginning.
The New England Patriots didn't whine after they lost the Super Bowl that the field was too long or the game should have been cut short or there should have only been 10 men on the field. Grow up Governor!
Learn a valuable lesson, folks. LIFE ISN'T FAIR. If you didn't break the rules, your 5 million votes would have counted. But be an adult and take responsibility for your actions.
And with the whine provided by the Governors, Mr. Moo will supply the cheese.